テレサ・メイの苦悩

November 7, 2016

英国首相メイは、インドに向かうに当たって移民のジレンマに直面している。

インドのモディ首相は、ポストBrexit貿易取引の対価としてビザの自由化を要求することが予想される。

 

厳しい状況ではあるが、今回の、FTSE(フッティー)メンバーを含めて、33の中堅企業エグゼクティブとのインド訪問は、貿易、投資、防衛、安全保障等、幅広い英印の新しい関係を気づく第一歩である。

 

2030年には中国を抜くと言われるインドの人口。現在の英国にとっては魅力的ではあるが大きな移民問題が潜んでいる。これを如何に解決していくか興味をそそるところである。

 

インド、そして中国への急接近は古の大英帝国の復活も想像される。ポスト Amerikaは英国(the Great Britain)かもしれない。・・・・・

 

 

 

【以下、Financial Times からの引用】

 

May seeks to strengthen UK ties with India

Prime minister wants to reverse slide in bilateral trade

 NOVEMBER 5, 2016

YESTERDAY by: Jim Pickard in London and Kiran Stacey in New Del

A cafe in Mumbai run by Costa Coffee, a UK company that has expanded into India © Alamy

 

Theresa May arrives in Delhi on Sunday night alongside executives from some of Britain’s biggest companies on her first trade mission as prime minister as she seeks to strengthen the UK’s economic and military ties with India.

The prime minister will label the mission an attempt to “reboot an age-old relationship” in the wake of Brexit.

Despite the positive rhetoric, bilateral trade between the two nations has decreased in the last five years from $15.7bn a year to $14bn.

Mrs May will frame her trip as part of the UK’s attempts to expand its horizons and forge stronger partnerships with countries beyond the EU.

The prime minister will be accompanied by 33 business figures, mostly from small to medium-sized enterprises. James Dyson, the vacuum cleaner billionaire, is expected to be on the visit. The delegation also includes FTSE figures such as Sir Gerry Grimstone, chair of Standard Life, Sir John Peace, chairman of Standard Charteredand Ivan Menezes, chief executive of Diageo.

On Monday the prime minister will meet Narendra Modi, the Indian prime minister, for two hours of talks on trade, investment, defence and security.

Several commercial deals are expected to be signed during the visit, together expected to create 1,370 jobs in the UK.

They include a £15m imaging centre in Chennai to be developed by Lyca Health UK and a £350m investment from Kloudpad, a UK start-up, into electronics manufacturing in Kochi.

The two governments will sign a deal to co-operate on intellectual property and also a new India-UK Urban Partnership on urban development.

Meanwhile Britain will extend assistance to India to “improve the business environment” including providing advice on regulation, tax and public administration. This is aimed at supporting Mr Modi’s attempts to push India up the ease of doing business rankings from its current position of 130th.

Vote Leave argued before June 23 that Brexit represented a chance for Britain to improve its trading links with the rest of the world, particularly with Commonwealth countries.

Travelling with international trade secretary Liam Fox and his deputy Greg Hands, the prime minister will attend the new India-UK TECH Summit in New Delhi before holding talks with Mr Modi on Monday afternoon. On Tuesday the ministers are set to visit Bangalore.

There are 1.5m Indians living in Britain, overtaken only recently by Poles as the largest foreign group in the country.

A UK government official said that Mr Modi’s economic plans would involve more money for hospitals, energy and core infrastructure. “These are areas that play to the strength of UK businesses, with their world class skills,” she said.

“We want to unlock the potential of the relationship on both sides, looking at how we can lay the groundwork before we leave the EU … for breaking the existing barriers to trade.”

In particular, ministers will be pressing for greater access for the legal services profession.

Talks between the EU and India over a trade deal have dragged on for nine years without success.

Some business groups believe that a UK-India deal might be easier to forge, although some of the same issues are likely to re-emerge — for example, the demand by New Delhi for large numbers of working visas.

In the post-Brexit political environment, Mrs May is determined to reduce the number of people coming to Britain to work, which is likely to make the negotiations harder.

The official said that the talks with Mr Modi would involve the economic relationship, defence and security relationships and broader foreign policy issues.

She said that Mrs May had picked India for her first bilateral trade visit because it was expected by 2030 to overtake China’s population and be the third-largest economy in the world.

 

 

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